Analysis and forecasting: Guidance for aviation on optimising recovery versus virus transmission

About the Challenge

We are seeking solutions to:

  1. Consider how governments can manage aviation travel restrictions to minimise the detrimental economic impact while minimising the risk of a second wave of COVID-19
  2. Consider what procedures industry bodies (airports, airlines, regulators) can put in place to reduce spread of the virus and how these may impact the government’s approach to travel restrictions
  3. Analyse the benefit of the resumption of aviation services to the economy

Challenge Host

Satavia logo

Relevant Sectors

Government, policy makers, health, aviation, travel and tourism, general public

What are you looking to achieve?

Using various datasets (e.g. COVID-19 death rates by country/region, historical and current passenger traffic volumes and RPKs, government travel restrictions, ADS-B data, historical aviation gross value add estimates by country/region, etc) we seek to understand the relationship between COVID-19 transmission (validated against reported data on COVID-19 deaths) and resumption of aviation economic activity – and how this relationship is likely to change based on:

What will be the Value and Impact?

Aviation underpins society and the economy – yet, it was a key vector for SARS-CoV-2 transmission, inadvertently exporting the virus all over the world.
As the world recovers from the crisis, the risk of a second wave or re-infection (with the original or mutated version of the virus) remains very real.
The speed at which air corridors are reopened is crucial in managing this risk: a main objective of this charter is to relate global health risk to the economic benefits associated with resumption of air travel to allow better decision making.

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